Posts Tagged ‘retail prophet’

The Future is Temporary: Retailing in A Pop-Up World

Tuesday, February 21st, 2012

By Doug Stephens

Reebok pop-up store New York City

The concept of pop-up retail has been around for more than a decade.  Vacant, a company out of Los Angeles, California is credited with pioneering the concept of pop-up shops in North America, after seeing similar concepts in Tokyo.  They observed that Japanese consumers would sometimes line up for hours to buy limited edition goods.  Once stock was sold out, the store would simply close until new stock arrived.  This led Vacant to innovate the current model for pop-up, whereby stores would open for a defined period and then simply close, only to pop up later in a different location.

Until 2007 however, pop-up shops, while intriguing, were regarded largely as a novelty.  The retail industry remained dominated by the foundational precept that stores were more permanent things.   The goal of most retailers remained long-term, favorable leases in locations with trusted consumer traffic levels. This was how retail was done and how it was won.

Popping Up Out of the Ashes

The economic collapse of 2008 brought new opportunities for pop-up retail.  Landlords who were reeling from fallout in the commercial real estate market entertained previously unthinkable, short-term agreements for their space, paving the way for a host of temporary retail installations.  From Los Angeles to the mean streets of New York, the economic meltdown spurred a brilliant series of unique and daring pop-up concepts.

Above all else, these concepts seemed to breathe new life into a retail industry that had become fat and lazy, in the days leading up to the financial crisis.  Retail had too long depended on excess consumer spending to buoy demand. Only when the bottom fell out of the market was it apparent just how unremarkable most retail had become.

In a sea of sameness, these unique and fleeting pop-ups caught the attention of consumers and made retail interesting again.

From Novelty to Strategy

Today, pop-up has become a legitimate channel strategy.  Everyone from Walmart to Hermes has turned to these temporary formats to reach consumers where their full-line stores couldn’t.

Entire cities have embraced the concept of pop-up retail as a means of revitalizing urban neighborhoods.  One example, Oakland California’s Pop Up Hood concept, offered 6 months of rent-free space to independent merchants to test out their retail concepts in designated parts of Oakland.

Even entertainment moguls Jay-Z and Kanye West opened a pop-up shop last year in New York City to commemorate the release of Watch the Throne.  The store was open for one weekend only.

Technology is also fueling more creative approaches to pop up.  Augmented reality applications are transforming inanimate spaces into engaging consumer buying portals – trips through the looking glass.  Net-A-Porter’s recent launch of its Karl Lagerfeld line, whereby the outside of the store became a living interaction point for mobile device wielding consumers, is one such recent example.

Net-A-Porter uses augmented reality to wow crowds at their Karl pop-up stores

Commercial Real Estate Redefined

What these and other concepts point to is an historic move away from retail being solely about established patterns of consumer traffic and purchase intent based on familiarity.  The new consumer is seeking surprise and excitement from retail and is in many ways returning to its pre-industrial revolution roots and the concept of the travelling market.

For the commercial real estate industry, the writing may be on the temporary wall.  The success of pop-up retail signifies the need for less permanent real estate overall.  It’s logical to expect more retail chains to move to a mix of flagship (got to be there) locations and opportunistic, temporary installations to create excitement and capture sales. The commercial real estate professional of the future may be relied upon as much for their keen sense of guerilla marketing instinct as they are for their knowledge of the market overall.

Up the Amazon Without A Paddle

Friday, December 16th, 2011

By Doug Stephens

The recent launch of Amazon’s price check app was greeted with everything from retailer outrage to government sabre rattling!  Some even called it evil!  Really? An app…evil?

In case you missed it, to commemorate the launch of the app, Amazon offered consumers up to $15.00 off their purchases if they used the app to price check items in local stores, before ultimately buying the same items on Amazon.  So, Amazon gets the pricing data and the sale, the consumer gets the discounts and the goods and the local retailers gets the pleasure of being the not-for-profit showroom. 

As you can imagine, this caused an uproar.  Retailers, industry associations and even a U.S. Senator joined the appeal for Amazon to halt the promotion.  Some felt Amazon was preying unnecessarily on brick and mortar retailers when they could least afford it – during the holiday sales run up.

Many cited Amazon’s “unfair advantage” on pricing.  I’ll grant you, the playing field isn’t perfectly level.  Amazon’s exclusion from having to charge sales tax makes it tough on their brick and mortar rivals but that isn’t exactly a new situation.  Online retailers have never been required to charge sales tax in states where they have no substantial physical presence.

If the only discernable difference between you and Amazon is the sales tax, you never had a chance in the first place.

Among the new rules of retail, there’s one that’s ironclad.  If your products, services and/or overall customer experience are not so substantially different from Amazon’s that you defy direct comparison, your life expectancy is limited.  And there’s no level of outrage,  complaining or Senatorial intervention that will change that.  In fact, Amazon won’t be your only worry – every competitor is potentially lethal when you lack any notable competitive differentiation.

And if you really don’t like Amazon’s price check app, brace yourself.  As smart phone sales continue to grow exponentially, more and more consumers are going to be wielding the likes of Google Shopper, Red Laser and a host of other apps aimed at directing consumers to the best possible price – and all other things being equal, they’ll take it.  The best retailers will focus relentlessly on ensuring that that all other things are in fact, NOT equal.

It’s just this simple:  Differentiate or die.

“I Don’t Use It But I Totally Get It”

Wednesday, December 7th, 2011

By Doug Stephens

One thing I hear very often from C-level leaders of companies when I’m presenting on the topic of social business is “I don’t use it, but I totally get it”.   They claim to understand the relevance of social networks and social media but simply choose not to use them.   They frequently cite a lack of time as their reason for not taking part personally, yet also claim to have a clear sense of how social media can be usefully deployed by their companies to engage consumers.  They don’t use it but they totally get it!

Of course only half of the statement is true.

Look at it this way; would your company hire a CMO who had never watched a television program? If your CFO had never constructed a budget, reviewed a P&L or read a balance sheet, would you have faith in them to manage the company’s finances?  Chances are we’d find this lack of core understanding simply unacceptable. Yet we somehow accept corporate leaders taking a pass on social business.  Why is that?

And what precisely is it that is diverting C-level attention away from what is arguably the most significant communication revolution since the printing press?  What level of email or voicemail proliferation is depriving them of the 5 minutes it takes to set up a Twitter profile, just to see what all the fuss is about?  Aren’t they even a little interested to see what their customers have to say about them on Facebook?  Shouldn’t they be?

The truth is the choice to opt out of social is just that — a choice.  And moreover, if it were any other aspect of the business that was being so openly ignored, we’d consider it negligent but because we call this “social” it’s somehow considered extra-curricular and optional.  It’s not considered an essential tool like finance, operations or human resources are.

Social business is not something that you read a book on and understand.  You have to make it a discipline.  You have to witness for yourself how connections are made, relationships are built and value is exchanged.  In order to get it, you have to do it.

The C-level leader of the future won’t be excused from social business.  At very least, a solid functional capability and understanding of social networks will be expected – no different than acumen in finance, marketing and supply chain management.  The use of social and professional networks both internally and externally will be as common as email is today.

The bottom line is that any corporate leader who claims that social business, media and networking “isn’t for them” is either coasting to retirement or running from their responsibilities.

The Problem With Mobile Wallet No One is Talking About

Monday, November 14th, 2011

By Doug Stephens

If you own a credit card, it’s entirely possible that you’ve run into situations where your card won’t work.  Maybe your credit limit was exceeded, your mag stripe lost its mojo or maybe the entire payment network was just temporarily down.  Whatever the case, they’re not pleasant situations but can usually be overcome with some other method of payment –  cash, debit, or another credit card perhaps.

What you’ve never had to worry about is dealing with a credit card with a dead battery.   But that’s precisely what could happen in a world where all payment methods are contained on your mobile devices.  When you need it most, you may simply not have power.   Imagine travelling and running out of juice, just as you need to buy a ticket for a departing train.  Or having your phone die just as your bill is presented to you in the restaurant.

The recent introduction of the iPhone 4S brings this potential problem to the foreground, with users complaining of as little as 5 hours of battery life.   And plugging in isn’t always possible when you’re on the go.

It’s a problem that will need to be solved and there are several possible ways.  Either device manufacturers will need to extend battery lives considerably or users will have to carry backup power supplies.

There is also a potential third solution in the form of inductive charging zones, which would enable wireless re-charging of mobile devices either on or in the proximity of a charging station built into various surfaces.  In other words, surfaces in restaurants, on trains, airplanes and anywhere that people are on the go, will be equipped with inductive charging technology, keeping devices charging while idle.

As we struggle to get our heads around the significant issues of privacy, security and banking infrastructure that mobile wallet presents, what could ultimately undermine its speed of adoption may come down to simple battery life.

How Not to Survive the Future

Wednesday, October 12th, 2011

By Doug Stephens

Today I came across this ad from the United States Postal Service.  They’ve adopted a self-preservation strategy that attempts to convince us that snail-mail’s low tech nature is actually preferable to digital communication because it offers protection from viruses and hackers. “An online virus has never attacked a cork board.” the voiceover says.  Isn’t that a little like saying  a horse would be better than a car because a horse never runs out of gas?

The ultimate goal of the campaign appears to be to convince rational adults who run real-world companies that sending paper statements to their customers makes more sense than digital billing and that customers actually prefer mail!

This is the best the USPS could come up with?  This is the strategy that will assure them their rightful place in the future?

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oysFmSVzCnM[/youtube]

Unfortunately, this sort of reaction to imminent obsolescence isn’t unusual.  For example, instead of innovating, the record industry chose to simply sue individuals for downloading music.  Instead of innovating, Blockbuster merely tinkered with late fees on DVD’s. Instead of innovating, book publishers and sellers tried to convince digital readers that they were somehow betraying the sanctity of the written word by using a Kindle.  In the process, they all wasted precious time and energy that could have been dedicated to real innovation and reinvention – things that might have saved them.

Don’t get me wrong, I’m not suggesting that reinventing a company, a business model, or an entire industry, for that matter, is easy or even possible, in all cases.  There are some notably successful reinventions however; brands like Hyundai, Apple, HP and Gucci are just a few that come to mind.  Many more, of course, have faded into obscurity despite their best efforts.  There are no guarantees.

What is absolutely certain though, is that deception, scare tactics and tinkering don’t cut it when you’re being annihilated by devastatingly disruptive technology.  You have no choice but to innovate aggressively and radically to create a new and relevant proposition.  You have to find a remarkable reason for existing.

So, if your company ever finds itself behind the eight ball and someone at your agency suggests a campaign like this one from the USPS, fire them.  Then sit down and start the difficult but exhilarating work of innovating.

Why Facebook’s New “Timeline” Could Change Retail Forever

Thursday, September 22nd, 2011

By Doug Stephens

At today’s F8 Conference in San Francisco, Facebook announced a complete overhaul to the user profile page with the advent of what it’s calling “timeline”.  Fast Company’s E.B Boyd characterized timeline as “a scrapbook on steroids” of the user’s life. Events, relationships, photos and video will populate an individual’s timeline, creating a living memory of their entire life.

Moreover, within timelines, users will be able to find, share and even purchase digital content such as music, books and movies.   So, for example, if a friend of yours likes a movie, the functionality will exist for you to purchase and download that same movie instantly from an Apple-esque app store that will reside within Facebook.

Although Mark Zuckerberg refrained from commenting on the revenue model of this service, it doesn’t take advanced math to calculate the profit potential, especially when each calculation begins with 700,000,000+ users!

This leads to the broader question of “If I can buy a song via my timeline or a friends timeline, why not a vacation, a TV or a gym membership?” – “If I can buy digital content, why not products and services, like house cleaning or landscaping?”  And all from the convenience of my profile page.  In other words, rather than looking for the things I want, could the things I want find me?

I, for one, believe the simple answer to all all of this is “yes”.  The only remaining question is when? And while the timing may be up for debate, what is certain is that the foundation for a functional, real-time and socially powered marketplace was laid today.  And for all those retailers who have been questioning the value of Facebook to revenue, you may be about to get your answer.

The Declining Need for and Escalating Value of Human Service

Sunday, September 18th, 2011

By Doug Stephens

Technology has been steadily reducing the number of human service interactions we require in an average day. For at least the last decade, the list of what we as consumers can do for ourselves is growing rapidly.   Between kiosks, web based solutions and mobile apps, most routine customer service functions (product knowledge, price checks, inventory inquiries etc.) are now completely do-it-yourself.

With this “self-serve revolution” in place, it’s easy to regard human, person-to-person service as a somewhat archaic commodity for which the market value must be dropping.  I’ve actually heard retail executives say as much, inferring that customer service people have become merely low value cogs in the machine.  Not only do I completely disagree, but I’d go so far as to say that any company that adopts this attitude is making a colossal and potentially fatal mistake.

There’s no app for empathy

What technology has done is to automate the most routine and repetitive customer service tasks; the real mind numbing stuff that deserved to be mechanized.  What is hasn’t done (at least not yet) is automate advanced problem solving skills, empathy and likeability.  Hence, customer service as we know it, is evolving to become less about functional skills and more about cognitive reasoning and emotional intelligence – the really hard stuff!

Technology hasn’t lowered the value of personal service, it’s raised it.  As the need for personal, human service declines, its value in circumstances where it is required becomes exponentially higher!  It’s precisely because we can do so much ourselves that when we encounter something we can’t, it’s literally jarring.  Consequently, the stakes are immediately higher.  These are situations where the customer has already reviewed your frequently asked questions board, called your automated help line and read your user’s manual.  They’ve made every attempt to solve their own problem – all to no avail.  The only remaining option is to call an expert who can help.  The human being they call or visit at your business is the last and most vital stopping block between your customer and your competitor’s doorstep.

Moments of Truth

A great example of a company that gets this concept is Zappos. 75% of Zappos sales are transacted without any interference from a human being – all totally systematized.  Most businesses would invest proportionately in the side of the business that generates the majority of sales – the automated 75%.  And yet, Zappos puts incredible emphasis on the hiring, training and compensation of the people who respond to the 25% of sales that do require personal service.  The rationale is simple; the 25% personal sales are regarded as do-or-die moments of truth when the system won’t cut it and when the customer needs the brand to truly perform.  These are the sales that create memorable experiences and word of mouth.  To skimp on talent at these most pivotal circumstances discredits the entire brand.

The best analogy I’ve heard is that the role of the customer service person today is much like that of an airline pilot.  The pilot is not paid to fly the plane – that’s almost completely done by the autopilot system.  Rather, the pilot is paid to be there in the critical moment when the system fails.

What’s In-Store for the Future?

Wednesday, March 16th, 2011

By Doug Stephens

There’s an ongoing debate about the viability of “bricks and mortar” retail in a digital world.  With online and mobile commerce growing at a double-digit pace and physical stores lagging far behind, how long will it be before clicks overtake bricks?  Some extremists predict an almost complete eradication of physical stores.

While I agree that a very high percentage (and eventually the majority) of what we buy we’ll buy online and/or have automatically replenished, I also believe there will always be a place in our society for physical stores.

image courtesy of Frog Design

Why We Shop

The rationale lies in the reasons why we shop in the first place.  The first and most obvious reason is to acquire the things we need and want.  It’s clearly this aspect of of shopping that the internet has had the greatest impact on.  The ability to select from hundreds of products, compare options, order what we want and have it on our doorstep the following day has put perilous pressure on traditional store models.

But the second and perhaps more important reason we shop has remained unchanged since the beginning of time. Shopping is a social activity. We venture to stores for the same reason we congregated in the market bazaar over a thousand years ago – to be a part of the crowd, to people-watch and for a few hours to lose ourselves in the magic of aimless browsing.  At it’s core, shopping has much less to do with economic need and a lot more to do with human gratification.

The Changing Definition of “Store”

What’s certain is that our beliefs about the purpose stores serve is changing quickly. The once well-defined line between online and in-store experiences is now being obscured. Social and experiential elements of the physical store are being incorporated into online stores.  Apple for example recently applied for a patent that seems aimed at making online shoppers actually feel like they’re in the store by merging aspects of the two experiences.  Likewise, collaborations like that between Adidas and Intel, are proving that in-store experiences can be more web-like by bringing information and media right to the customers finger tips in a highly interactive way.

But the question remains, with consumers becoming increasingly comfortable buying just about anything online, what real value will stores bring to the brands they represent?  Why build stores?

The Store As Media

We’ve traditionally used media to drive consumers into stores.  If marketers could get us across the store threshold, their job was largely done.  In other words, the store was the end of the marketing funnel – the goal line so to speak.

Increasingly, stores will instead act as branded media.  They will function less as places that simply sell products and more like interactive galleries, showrooms and workshops – places where consumers can have aesthetic, visceral and emotional experiences with the brand – that can’t be replicated online. In this sense the store will become the customer’s first brand touchpoint – not the last.  The entry point of the marketing funnel.

With this shift, the financial expectations of stores will change.  Brands will regard their stores less as sales and profit centers and more as a marketing and media expense.  Conventional store success metrics like sales per square foot and inventory turns, will steadily give way to marketing and media-based metrics.  A good day in-store won’t be entirely about how many widgets were sold but also about how many positive impressions were generated and how those impressions converted into social buzz and ongoing brand interactions.

Today’s stores work to fill the customers cart with product.  The store of tomorrow will work to fill customer’s handhelds with branded media, applications and other digital incentives to form a relationship with the brand.  In other words, the store of the future will not simply aim to open the customer’s wallet but also to open their minds and hearts to the brand in its totality.

This concept represents a profound paradigm shift  and one that will be problematic for many retailers to get their arms around.  For savvy retail brands on the other hand, it will represent the next frontier of retail supremacy.

Cutting the Cord on Point of Sale

Wednesday, February 16th, 2011

By Doug Stephens

One of the hottest topics at this year’s National Retail Federation conference was mobile point of sale.  Whether offering customers the convenience of self-checkout or providing a higher level of personal service, it appears the days of lining up at the cash wrap are numbered.

I caught up with the team at Global Bay, a pioneer in the field of mobile P.O.S. for a first-hand look at their mobile solution.  Some of you may remember Global Bay for their unassuming but impressive YouTube product demo about a year ago, in which they convert an iPod touch into a working retail checkout.

In the video below, I talk with Global Bay Managing Director Justin Coward about the trend towards cutting the cord on P.O.S. and get a demonstration of some of the new product innovations they’re bringing to the market.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yYJLHFIxQCc[/youtube]