Archive for the ‘Trends’ Category

The Future is Temporary: Retailing in A Pop-Up World

Tuesday, February 21st, 2012

By Doug Stephens

Reebok pop-up store New York City

The concept of pop-up retail has been around for more than a decade.  Vacant, a company out of Los Angeles, California is credited with pioneering the concept of pop-up shops in North America, after seeing similar concepts in Tokyo.  They observed that Japanese consumers would sometimes line up for hours to buy limited edition goods.  Once stock was sold out, the store would simply close until new stock arrived.  This led Vacant to innovate the current model for pop-up, whereby stores would open for a defined period and then simply close, only to pop up later in a different location.

Until 2007 however, pop-up shops, while intriguing, were regarded largely as a novelty.  The retail industry remained dominated by the foundational precept that stores were more permanent things.   The goal of most retailers remained long-term, favorable leases in locations with trusted consumer traffic levels. This was how retail was done and how it was won.

Popping Up Out of the Ashes

The economic collapse of 2008 brought new opportunities for pop-up retail.  Landlords who were reeling from fallout in the commercial real estate market entertained previously unthinkable, short-term agreements for their space, paving the way for a host of temporary retail installations.  From Los Angeles to the mean streets of New York, the economic meltdown spurred a brilliant series of unique and daring pop-up concepts.

Above all else, these concepts seemed to breathe new life into a retail industry that had become fat and lazy, in the days leading up to the financial crisis.  Retail had too long depended on excess consumer spending to buoy demand. Only when the bottom fell out of the market was it apparent just how unremarkable most retail had become.

In a sea of sameness, these unique and fleeting pop-ups caught the attention of consumers and made retail interesting again.

From Novelty to Strategy

Today, pop-up has become a legitimate channel strategy.  Everyone from Walmart to Hermes has turned to these temporary formats to reach consumers where their full-line stores couldn’t.

Entire cities have embraced the concept of pop-up retail as a means of revitalizing urban neighborhoods.  One example, Oakland California’s Pop Up Hood concept, offered 6 months of rent-free space to independent merchants to test out their retail concepts in designated parts of Oakland.

Even entertainment moguls Jay-Z and Kanye West opened a pop-up shop last year in New York City to commemorate the release of Watch the Throne.  The store was open for one weekend only.

Technology is also fueling more creative approaches to pop up.  Augmented reality applications are transforming inanimate spaces into engaging consumer buying portals – trips through the looking glass.  Net-A-Porter’s recent launch of its Karl Lagerfeld line, whereby the outside of the store became a living interaction point for mobile device wielding consumers, is one such recent example.

Net-A-Porter uses augmented reality to wow crowds at their Karl pop-up stores

Commercial Real Estate Redefined

What these and other concepts point to is an historic move away from retail being solely about established patterns of consumer traffic and purchase intent based on familiarity.  The new consumer is seeking surprise and excitement from retail and is in many ways returning to its pre-industrial revolution roots and the concept of the travelling market.

For the commercial real estate industry, the writing may be on the temporary wall.  The success of pop-up retail signifies the need for less permanent real estate overall.  It’s logical to expect more retail chains to move to a mix of flagship (got to be there) locations and opportunistic, temporary installations to create excitement and capture sales. The commercial real estate professional of the future may be relied upon as much for their keen sense of guerilla marketing instinct as they are for their knowledge of the market overall.

Why Amazon Needs Stores

Tuesday, February 7th, 2012

By Doug Stephens

It was reported this week that behemoth online retailer Amazon is planning to open a brick and mortar store location in its home market of Seattle.  The intent, it’s speculated, is to create a destination for the Kindle Fire and a selection of exclusive Amazon content.

Given Amazon’s size and dominance in digital channels, one has to wonder why it would bother with brick and mortar stores at all.  Surely it’s not an effort to make Amazon a household name – that’s been accomplished.  And would the unit Kindle sales of a few stores really make a strategic difference for the company?  Probably not.  In fact, one could argue that the magic of Amazon’s business model is that it moves enormous amounts of product without the burden of operating physical locations. So why stores?  Why now and to what point?

The answer may lie in one very simple truth.  When I try to picture the Kindle Fire experience, nothing comes to mind.  There is no tangible, sensory or emotional connection to the product at all. Whereas with Apple, I can clearly conjure images of crowded stores with people aged 6-60 lining up to try the new iPhone or iPad, my Kindle Fire recall is a vacuum.  And I doubt that I’m alone.

In truth, what Amazon needs to sell over and above the Kindle Fire, is the “Kindle Fire Experience” –and that’s where stores play a strategic role.  It used to be that if you wanted to demonstrate the experience of your product, whether it was snow tires or breakfast cereal, you just bought lots of television advertising.  In fact, in 1965, a mere 3 television ads in primetime bought you 80% of the viewing public!  Today, that number is closer to 117 and that only guarantees you the potential to reach your audience – there’s no guarantee your ads will actually be consumed.  I can’t think of many brands that can afford 117 primetime television ads.

The Store is the Ad

This all signals a much deeper and more historic shift in the strategic purpose of physical stores, which I’ve alluded to before; that being that physical stores will increasingly serve as a distribution channel for brand experiences as opposed to simply products.  On an escalating scale, stores, not televisions, are where people will have their first encounter with new brands and products. The store will serve as the front end of the experience, the buzz agent and the catalyst for consumer evangelism and purchases across multiple online and offline touch points.  So, the store is no longer the end of the marketing cycle but rather the beginning – the living, breathing advertisement for the brand and product.

I believe that Amazon has recognized this fundamental shift.  The question becomes whether the company that did so much to disrupt our concept of the e-commerce experience, can apply the same craft and cunning to the in-store experience.

Up the Amazon Without A Paddle

Friday, December 16th, 2011

By Doug Stephens

The recent launch of Amazon’s price check app was greeted with everything from retailer outrage to government sabre rattling!  Some even called it evil!  Really? An app…evil?

In case you missed it, to commemorate the launch of the app, Amazon offered consumers up to $15.00 off their purchases if they used the app to price check items in local stores, before ultimately buying the same items on Amazon.  So, Amazon gets the pricing data and the sale, the consumer gets the discounts and the goods and the local retailers gets the pleasure of being the not-for-profit showroom. 

As you can imagine, this caused an uproar.  Retailers, industry associations and even a U.S. Senator joined the appeal for Amazon to halt the promotion.  Some felt Amazon was preying unnecessarily on brick and mortar retailers when they could least afford it – during the holiday sales run up.

Many cited Amazon’s “unfair advantage” on pricing.  I’ll grant you, the playing field isn’t perfectly level.  Amazon’s exclusion from having to charge sales tax makes it tough on their brick and mortar rivals but that isn’t exactly a new situation.  Online retailers have never been required to charge sales tax in states where they have no substantial physical presence.

If the only discernable difference between you and Amazon is the sales tax, you never had a chance in the first place.

Among the new rules of retail, there’s one that’s ironclad.  If your products, services and/or overall customer experience are not so substantially different from Amazon’s that you defy direct comparison, your life expectancy is limited.  And there’s no level of outrage,  complaining or Senatorial intervention that will change that.  In fact, Amazon won’t be your only worry – every competitor is potentially lethal when you lack any notable competitive differentiation.

And if you really don’t like Amazon’s price check app, brace yourself.  As smart phone sales continue to grow exponentially, more and more consumers are going to be wielding the likes of Google Shopper, Red Laser and a host of other apps aimed at directing consumers to the best possible price – and all other things being equal, they’ll take it.  The best retailers will focus relentlessly on ensuring that that all other things are in fact, NOT equal.

It’s just this simple:  Differentiate or die.

“I Don’t Use It But I Totally Get It”

Wednesday, December 7th, 2011

By Doug Stephens

One thing I hear very often from C-level leaders of companies when I’m presenting on the topic of social business is “I don’t use it, but I totally get it”.   They claim to understand the relevance of social networks and social media but simply choose not to use them.   They frequently cite a lack of time as their reason for not taking part personally, yet also claim to have a clear sense of how social media can be usefully deployed by their companies to engage consumers.  They don’t use it but they totally get it!

Of course only half of the statement is true.

Look at it this way; would your company hire a CMO who had never watched a television program? If your CFO had never constructed a budget, reviewed a P&L or read a balance sheet, would you have faith in them to manage the company’s finances?  Chances are we’d find this lack of core understanding simply unacceptable. Yet we somehow accept corporate leaders taking a pass on social business.  Why is that?

And what precisely is it that is diverting C-level attention away from what is arguably the most significant communication revolution since the printing press?  What level of email or voicemail proliferation is depriving them of the 5 minutes it takes to set up a Twitter profile, just to see what all the fuss is about?  Aren’t they even a little interested to see what their customers have to say about them on Facebook?  Shouldn’t they be?

The truth is the choice to opt out of social is just that — a choice.  And moreover, if it were any other aspect of the business that was being so openly ignored, we’d consider it negligent but because we call this “social” it’s somehow considered extra-curricular and optional.  It’s not considered an essential tool like finance, operations or human resources are.

Social business is not something that you read a book on and understand.  You have to make it a discipline.  You have to witness for yourself how connections are made, relationships are built and value is exchanged.  In order to get it, you have to do it.

The C-level leader of the future won’t be excused from social business.  At very least, a solid functional capability and understanding of social networks will be expected – no different than acumen in finance, marketing and supply chain management.  The use of social and professional networks both internally and externally will be as common as email is today.

The bottom line is that any corporate leader who claims that social business, media and networking “isn’t for them” is either coasting to retirement or running from their responsibilities.

The Problem With Mobile Wallet No One is Talking About

Monday, November 14th, 2011

By Doug Stephens

If you own a credit card, it’s entirely possible that you’ve run into situations where your card won’t work.  Maybe your credit limit was exceeded, your mag stripe lost its mojo or maybe the entire payment network was just temporarily down.  Whatever the case, they’re not pleasant situations but can usually be overcome with some other method of payment –  cash, debit, or another credit card perhaps.

What you’ve never had to worry about is dealing with a credit card with a dead battery.   But that’s precisely what could happen in a world where all payment methods are contained on your mobile devices.  When you need it most, you may simply not have power.   Imagine travelling and running out of juice, just as you need to buy a ticket for a departing train.  Or having your phone die just as your bill is presented to you in the restaurant.

The recent introduction of the iPhone 4S brings this potential problem to the foreground, with users complaining of as little as 5 hours of battery life.   And plugging in isn’t always possible when you’re on the go.

It’s a problem that will need to be solved and there are several possible ways.  Either device manufacturers will need to extend battery lives considerably or users will have to carry backup power supplies.

There is also a potential third solution in the form of inductive charging zones, which would enable wireless re-charging of mobile devices either on or in the proximity of a charging station built into various surfaces.  In other words, surfaces in restaurants, on trains, airplanes and anywhere that people are on the go, will be equipped with inductive charging technology, keeping devices charging while idle.

As we struggle to get our heads around the significant issues of privacy, security and banking infrastructure that mobile wallet presents, what could ultimately undermine its speed of adoption may come down to simple battery life.

The Manufacture it Yourself Economy

Tuesday, November 8th, 2011

By Doug Stephens

Technology has given rise to a steady evolution whereby consumers are increasingly becoming producers. Music, publishing, printing, design, software development, and video are only a few of the areas that have been touched by this rapid transformation.   With it has come massive economic disruption as entire industries, like the printing industry for example, have felt the effects of the “pro-sumer” movement. But what if we could take it a step further and move from being mere producers of data, media and content to becoming manufacturers of actual physical products?

Imagine a world where we can quite effortlessly produce many of the household items we need on a daily basis, such as tools, household accessories, toys etc., What if many of these things could be manufactured in the comfort of our own home.  Imagine having the ability to create the things we need, as we need them, one at a time in any design we prefer.

Items created using 3D printing technology

Now, what if I told you that what I just described is not only possible, but that by 2020 it could be commonplace?

Welcome to the world of 3-D printing.

3D printers create objects by stacking layers of material – often metal or plastics – onto one another in the form of the desired object.  Designs are based on three dimensional digital models that can be created using simple and accessible software.

Originally used by manufacturers to build expensive prototypes, the technology is quickly scaling down in affordability with commercial grade 3D printers available on the market for as little as $15,000.00 and a low-end desktop unit for as little as $1,200.00.  And while that might still sound like a pretty steep price tag, consider that the first Sony Betamax retailed for well over $1,000.00 in 1975 dollars, a price seen as prohibitive by many consumers at the time.

While the widespread household use of 3D printing could take a while to catch on, it’s fascinating to consider the radical impact such a change could have on our economy and the manufacturing in general.  How many items that we rely on a supply chain of businesses to produce, could simply be made as needed by consumers themselves?

It’s also fascinating to think about how this technology could be used by children for play and education.  Could 3D printing be the 21st century version of the chemistry set or Lego kit?

Here’s a video with more on 3D printing technology and it’s potential to change our lives.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q-uhoww_W_I[/youtube]

How Google Street View Might Open the E-Com Door for Small Retail

Monday, November 7th, 2011

By Doug Stephens

If you use Google maps, then you’re probably familiar with Street View.  As the name suggests, Street View allows users to literally fly down to street level and have a 360-degree look around.

In April of this year Google began expanding the concept to include 360-degree photography of interior business spaces within Street View functionality.  Now the program is officially rolling out in Australia, Japan, the U.S., and New Zealand and is focusing exclusively on small businesses including restaurants, bars and retail stores. Businesses who want to have their location photographed by a “Google-trusted” photographer have to apply.

This is about more than pretty pictures

According to Google, the idea behind shooting interiors is to provide potential customers with immersive imagery that would simply make them more comfortable with deciding to visit businesses.  While that is undoubtedly one outcome, I think there’s either more to this than Google is admitting to at the moment.  Or it could be that they are missing out on a much larger opportunity.  Given Google’s savvy, I tend to think it’s the former.

The opportunity lies in the astounding fact that almost half of all small retailers in North America do not have a website of any kind.  Those that do often have something that looks like a glorified yellow pages ad –static and outdated.  It’s a segment of the market that is woefully lacking in offering consumers any degree of web-based experience.

What Street View Interiors offers is the core of web experience that begins to make a business’ Google Place page feel a lot more like a decent website.  My bet would be that that’s exactly what Google wants business owners to begin to regard their Places page as – their website.  A fully baked Places page now can contain reviews, maps, directions and telephone numbers, offers and an immersive 360-degree tour of the location and surrounding area.  Add in applications like Google Checkout, and you have a fully functioning website with e-commerce capability – a quantum leap for the average small retailer.

I’m Seen Therefore I am

Small retailers have never really excelled at e-commerce.  The reason in most cases is quite simple. Many buyers feel that there’s a risk in ordering something from some hole in the wall store they’ve never heard of. Without a well-known store brand name to rely on, most consumers aren’t willing to chance it.  It’s been a perennial problem for small retailers.

Through Street View’s interior shots, would-be consumers can at least confirm that the store in fact exists, lending a significant sense of pre-buy confidence.  If the store also happens to be well kept, stocked and merchandised (at least at the time it was photographed), it might just seal the deal.

In what has become the ultimate game of online chess, my guess is that Google is thinking at least a few moves ahead.  In this case, the strategy as I see it is for Google Places to become the de facto home page and ecommerce portal for millions of small businesses worldwide – a massive opportunity, if they can tap it.

Social Media Doesn’t Suck (But Your Marketing Might)

Monday, October 24th, 2011

By Doug Stephens

Hardly a day goes by that I don’t read at least one article that debates the inherent value of social media.  The marketing community continues to hunt for the illusive equation that will neatly equate a brand fan or follower to sales.  One article I saw recently actually suggested we go to extent of sub-segmenting Facebook fans with psychometric precision to understand their underlying motivation for “liking” us in the first place.  Is this even possible? And if it is, how do we execute on the information?

Let’s consider this whole issue differently for a moment.  Let’s look at it from the Follower’s point of view but first, let’s clarify what a like or a follow really is and more importantly, what it is not.

In and of themselves, likes, follows, YouTube views etc. are not exchanges. They don’t imply a commitment to buy or to maintain a long-term relationship with you.  There is no promise of patronage or fidelity.  All that fans and followers are granting is their “permission” to communicate with them.  When they choose to like or follow they are simply telling you they’re willing to listen.  Ultimately, if your brand’s message is good enough, they may even be prepared to start a relationship with you – if you earn it.

So, what have you got to say?

Let’s start with that.  Now that you’ve been given permission to exchange, what does your brand actually have to say to its followers? How will you enlighten, enthuse, entertain or give value to them?  Will you design remarkable and creative messaging that they actually talk about or will you bore them with banal coupons, offers and other nonsense that goes largely unnoticed?  Will you respond to their Facebook fan posts in real time, with a consistent and trustworthy brand voice, or will you allow posts to go unanswered, as 95% of wall posts currently do?  Will you actively follow up on their complaints about your brand on Twitter or will you ignore them like 79% of all complaints on Twitter are ignored?  What will you do or say, that is worth their attention?  What value will YOU deliver?

The R.O.I on boring your followers isn’t great

Every day, most of us are exposed to up a staggering 5,000 marketing messages.  How many even prompt a second look?  How many are remarkable enough for us to tell someone else about?   If we’re being honest, the answer is probably, not many.

In the end, how can we expect people who gave us a chance to wow them, to stick around after we bore and disappoint them?  If the majority of the marketing that brands offer is of low value, how can we possibly expect social media to pay us back with high value? Frankly, social media owes us nothing.  Instead of asking what the value of a fan or follower is, we’d be wiser to ask what value we offer to those who follow us.  Isn’t that where the value has to begin?

How Not to Survive the Future

Wednesday, October 12th, 2011

By Doug Stephens

Today I came across this ad from the United States Postal Service.  They’ve adopted a self-preservation strategy that attempts to convince us that snail-mail’s low tech nature is actually preferable to digital communication because it offers protection from viruses and hackers. “An online virus has never attacked a cork board.” the voiceover says.  Isn’t that a little like saying  a horse would be better than a car because a horse never runs out of gas?

The ultimate goal of the campaign appears to be to convince rational adults who run real-world companies that sending paper statements to their customers makes more sense than digital billing and that customers actually prefer mail!

This is the best the USPS could come up with?  This is the strategy that will assure them their rightful place in the future?

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oysFmSVzCnM[/youtube]

Unfortunately, this sort of reaction to imminent obsolescence isn’t unusual.  For example, instead of innovating, the record industry chose to simply sue individuals for downloading music.  Instead of innovating, Blockbuster merely tinkered with late fees on DVD’s. Instead of innovating, book publishers and sellers tried to convince digital readers that they were somehow betraying the sanctity of the written word by using a Kindle.  In the process, they all wasted precious time and energy that could have been dedicated to real innovation and reinvention – things that might have saved them.

Don’t get me wrong, I’m not suggesting that reinventing a company, a business model, or an entire industry, for that matter, is easy or even possible, in all cases.  There are some notably successful reinventions however; brands like Hyundai, Apple, HP and Gucci are just a few that come to mind.  Many more, of course, have faded into obscurity despite their best efforts.  There are no guarantees.

What is absolutely certain though, is that deception, scare tactics and tinkering don’t cut it when you’re being annihilated by devastatingly disruptive technology.  You have no choice but to innovate aggressively and radically to create a new and relevant proposition.  You have to find a remarkable reason for existing.

So, if your company ever finds itself behind the eight ball and someone at your agency suggests a campaign like this one from the USPS, fire them.  Then sit down and start the difficult but exhilarating work of innovating.

The Future of Retail: The Destination is You

Monday, October 3rd, 2011

By Doug Stephens

Since the time of the Roman Empire, retail as a concept, has been about destinations. Whether a small specialty shop, a department store or a website, retail has always meant going somewhere to get something.

As retail has evolved over the centuries, each new type of destination has delivered an increased level of convenience.  The urban specialty shop put multiple stores within walking distance of one another.  The department store offered multiple categories under one roof.  The big box gave us more categories and products than most of us ever imagined and now the Internet- the biggest of big boxes – is the ultimate category killer.  But while these innovations have improved the relative ease with which we can shop, the concept of destination has remained. We are still required to consciously make a trip, be it physical or otherwise, to get what we need.

This is about to radically change.  Increasingly it will be the products that seek out consumers and in the process, render consumers the destination.

As we move through our day, opportunities to make purchases will present themselves in a completely synchronous and contextual way.  We will not think in terms of destination as much as in terms of opportunities to buy the things we need, wherever those opportunities arise. The “rules” about where we can find the things that we need will be challenged as “anything/anywhere” shopping becomes the expectation and ultimately the norm.

Here are four recent examples of how the death of the destination is playing out in retail right now.

Home Plus QR Code Shopping

Recently Tesco’s Korean grocery chain Home Plus installed innovative subway signage that allows busy commuters to order groceries while they wait for their train.   Consumers simply scan the quick response (QR) codes of the items they want and pay for their order using their mobile device.  The order is then shipped, at their convenience, to their home.

ShopBox

Recently the 3rd Ward design incubator made news with its ShopBox installation in Brooklyn’s Dekalb market.  The “store”, a recycled, retrofitted and completely unmanned steel shipping container, allows shoppers to browse products through storefront-like windows and then using an order-by-text system to complete a purchase.  All items are then shipped directly to their home.  While being highly experimental, ShopBox nonetheless challenges conventional thinking around what a store is.

Facebook Timeline

In a recent post I commented on the extent to which Facebook’s Timeline innovation could be literally revolutionary for retail.  In short, very soon you may be riding the bus to work when you get a mobile Facebook update from a friend that says they’ve just read a great book.  Without giving it a great deal of thought, you click on the accompanying book title in their update and within a few seconds, download a copy of the same book to your tablet and be well into chapter one by the time you arrive at work.  Music, books and movies are the starting point but other products and services can’t be far behind.

TV Adver-Buying

If you like the shoes that Tina Fey is wearing on 30 Rock, pause the show, select the shoes in the size you need and buy them by waving at your television.  Then hit play to continue watching the show.  While you’re at it, say goodbye to the 30 second (or even the 10 second) commercial.  Internet TV will blur the lines between surfing and viewing and allow for contextual product placement within taped and even live programming.  Furthermore, companies like MasterCard are playing with motion and sound driven TV payment based on their QkR payment platform, making checking-out instant and easy.

What about destination retail?

To say that these and other technologies will eradicate the need for physical retail would be overly sensational and highly unlikely. It isn’t, however, an exaggeration to say that our expectations of physical stores will change dramatically.  More and more we will expect these destinations to deliver unique and memorable experiences that we simply can’t anywhere else – digitally or otherwise.

The ultimatum that these technologies and concepts present, however, is that consumers will increasingly choose businesses that offer either anywhere convenience or only-here experiences. Everything in the middle may as well be invisible.

Here’s a brief video of a chat I had recently with the team at the Lavin Agency in Toronto on the subject of how this concept of destination in retail is being revolutionized.

[vimeo]http://vimeo.com/30923966[/vimeo]